How many of the classic recession warning signs are flashing right now — shown in full, so you can judge for yourself.
The Recessionometer is not a forecast. It counts how many well-known warning indicators are currently in the territory that has preceded past downturns, and shows every one so you see the full picture rather than a single mystery number.
The dial is weighted: the yield curve and the unemployment trend count double, because they have the strongest real-world track record. A high reading means caution is warranted — not that a recession is certain. Plenty of these signals have flashed before downturns that never arrived.
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